http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/10/gps.html
¦³ÃöGPS°ê®a°ò¥»±¤½uÃÐ
From ¬ü¤k½s¿è
§Ú¥ý¦C¥X¥þ²y§ë¸êGPSªº°ÝÃD¡A¦b³oùؽбÐallan»P¤j®a
¤@¡B«Xù´µ¤£¬O³s¶^¤F¤T¦~¡A¥LªºPBR¬O¤£¬O¤T¦~³£¦b1?
¦pªG§Ú¶R¶i¥h¡A¬O¤£¬O´N®M¤T¦~¨S¿ìªk¦^¥»?
¤G¡B¦³¨S¦³¨ººØÄꥫ³õ¡A¦b1¶R¡AÁÙ¨Sº¦¨ì3´N¶^¤U¨Ó?
¤T¡B¤@¼Ë¬Opbr§Cªºªº°ê®a¡A¬OPBR1¡B´Þ§Q²v6¡BPE3¤ñ¸û¦n(201312ªº¦L¥§)¡AÁÙ¬Opbr2¡B´Þ§Q²v6¡B per2ªº¾¥¦èô¦n?
¥|¡B°£¤F¦L¥§¡A³oÓªí¥h¦~©³PBR1ªº´¼§Q¡B±¶§J¥h¦~©³´¼§Qpbr¦b1¡A¤µ¦~¯uªº´N¦³º¦¶Ü?
¤¡B³oÓªí¥h¦~¨ì²{¦b¡A¦³þ¨Ç°ê®aÀ³ÃÒº¦¶^
¤»¡B¦³¨S¦³°ê®a¤@ª½¦b6¡A¥b¦~³£¤£¤U¨Óªº?
¤C¡B¬JµMPB¤ñ¸û«n¡A¬°¤°»ò¤£¬O±Æ²Ä¤@?
From allan: (¬ü¤k½s¿èªº 1.6 ¥i¯à©w¸q¤£¤Ó¤@¼Ë... MAYBE= 2. 5)
1. no...... russia³Ìªñ¤~¶}©l 2 (not 1).. §A¶R¶i¥H«á, ÁÙ¥i¥H§Q¥Î»ù®æªº¤½uÃÐ...ÁÈ»ù®t (fb ºô¤Í³£¥i¥H°µ¨£ÃÒ)
2.²z½×¤WÀ³¸Ó¦³,BUT ¥Ø«e§Ú§ä¤£¨ì....¦]¬°§¡È¦^Âk,¤£ª¾¹D¤°»ò®ÉÔ¤@©w·|¦^Âk,¥L¥i¯à¯¸¤W¥h¦A±¼¤U¨Ó,but ªø»·¨Ó»¡,¦^Âkªº¾÷²v«D±`¤j
³o¬O¿Õ¨©º¸¼úshiller±Ð±Â»¡ªº
http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/04/etf-2.html
§ÚÌ¥i¥H§Q¥Î¥»¯q¤ñ(per).ªÑ»ù²bȤñ(Pbr),²{ª÷´Þ§Q²v(dividendyield) ¤TӰѼƨӧPÂ_¤j½L,¶Q©M«K©y
¦pªG§Ú̦b«K©yªº®ÉÔ¶R¶i¨Ó,§A¦p¦ó¦³§â´¤,·|¦³¶Qªº®ÉÔÅý§A½æ¥X¥h?
³o¥ó¨Æ±¡,´N¬O2013¦~¿Õ¨©º¸¸gÀپǼú,±o¥Dshiller±Ð±Â,©Ò¬ã¨sªºS³ò
shiller±Ð±Â§i¶D§ÚÌ,µu´ÁªºªÑ²¼¥«³õªi°Ê¨S¦³¿ìªk¹w´ú
¦ý¬O§Ú̪ø´Á¥i¥H¹w´ú,¥¼¨ÓªºªÑ²¼¥«³õ
shiller±Ð±Â..¸ò§ÚÌ»¡... http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/04/1-2.html
®u°Çªº«n¬ã¨sµo²{¡A¸ê²£»ù®æ²zÀ³¬O¹w´Á³ø¹SÅܰʪºÁ`¦X¡]¨Ò¦pªÑ²¼ªºªÑ§Q¡^¡A¦ýªÑ§QªºÅܰʵ{«×«o¤ñªÑ»ù§C¡C¦³½ìªº¬O¡A³o¤Ï¦ÓÅý¥¼¨ÓªÑ»ù°Ê¦VÅܱo¤ñ¸û®e©ö¹w´ú¡F¥»§Q¤ñ°ªªº®ÉÔ¡AªÑ»ù¶É¦V©ó¤U·Æ¡C³o¤£¦ý¾A¥Î©óªÑ²¼¡A¤]¾A¥Î©ó¶Å¨éµ¥¸ê²£¡C
¦b1980¦~¥Nªì´Á,SHILLER ±Ð±ÂÅå³Yªºµo²{¤@Óª÷¿Ä¸ê²£©w»ù¤£¦Pªº¼h±,¥Lµo²{ªø´Á¨Ó»¡,ª÷¿Ä¸ê²£©w»ù¥i¥H¹w´ú,¥L¨Ï¥Î¤FªÑ²¼»ù®æ©M²{ª÷ªÑ§Qªº¼Æ¾Ú,(¥Lªºì©lPAPER¤å³¹¦b³oùØ
http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/10/1513tw.html)
¦¨¥\¦a¥Ü½d¤F¦b3¨ì¤C¦~¤§«á,²{ª÷ªÑ®§È§Q²vªº°ª§C,©M¥¼¨ÓªÑ»ùªºªí²{¦³Ãö.¥L¨Ã«ü¥X,ªÑ²¼»ù®æªº¤j¶qªi°Ê,¬O¦]¬°¤Hªº¤£²z©Ê,SHILLER±Ð±Â¨ÃɥΤ߲z¾Ç,¨Óµo®i¦æ¬°°]°È¾Ç
http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2013/presentation-speech.html
Inthe early 1980s, Robert Shiller presented surprising findings thatsuggested a very different perspective on asset prices. Shillerdiscovered there was significant predictability over longer timehorizons. Using an ingenious combination of share price and dividenddata, he demonstrated that high prices relative to dividends werefollowed by low prices relative to dividends 3 to 7 years later ¡Vnot always, but on average. Shiller's studies also indicatedthat the volatility of prices relative to dividends appearedexcessive. His interpretation was that the asset market is not alwaysfully rational. This hypothesis, and Shiller's subsequent work, hasstimulated the emergence of a new research field, behavioral finance,which borrows from psychology to improve our understanding of assetprices.
wow...§Ú̲שó±o¨ì¤FÂÃÄ_¹Ï,¦]¬°ªø´Á¨Ó»¡,¦]¬°´º®ð´`Àô,©M¤H©ÊªºÃö«Y.§Ú̫ܦ³§â´¤,¥i¥H§C¶R°ª½æ(µu´Á§C¶R°ª½æ,«Ü§xÃø,..¦]¬°µLªk¹w´ú)
3.§Ú¿ï¾Üpbr1, PBR IS ³Ì«n
4.³oÓgpsexcel³nÅé.2014 4 5 ¤ë??¤~¥X²{§¹¾ãªº backtest ´ú¸Õ..,¥i¯à»ÝntivoÀ°¦£.§Ú¦Û¤v¿Ë¨ªº¸g¾ú----
EWZ.ERUS THD EIDO...³£¥i¥H¦LÃÒ(©Ò¦³ªÀ¹ÎAND³¡¸¨®æªººô¤Í³£¥i¥H¨£ÃÒ)
- YES ¡K( CHILI IS ¦b¤µ¦~). §CÂI ·|¸¨¦b GPS ªº´dÆ[°Ï. ( CZECH,,, NO ETF, ª½±µ ¥¬©Ô®æ INDEX¥N´À)
CZECH---2013 JULY ¬O³Ì§CÂI, GPS ¥i¥HÅý§Aª¾¹D¤°»ò¬O¬Û¹ïªº°ª§C
6.yes......usa . §Ú»{¬°¥L¤@©wn¦^Àɥ𮧤@¤U,§¡È¦^Âk...¬Q¤Ñ¬üªÑ¤j¶^.¤w¸g¶^¯}¤FTRENDLINE
7.yes, §Ú¦P·N¥i¥H©ñ¦b²Ä¤@Ó
µ²½×:§ÚÌ¥un§ä¨ì¬Û¹ïªº°ª§CÂI,(¨S¦³¤Hª¾¹Dµ´¹ïªº°ª§CÂI)
¶R§C½æ°ª,BUY LOW AND SELL HIGH ... ¥un¬O¥¿³ø¹S.³o´N¬O¦¨¥\ªº§ë¸ê
¼Ö¬¡¤½uÃÐ---°ò¥»±¤½uÃÐ+»ù®æªº¤½uÃÐ........¥i¥HÀ°§U§Ú̹F¦¨¹Ú·Q.Åý§ÚÌÂ\²æ´²¤áªº©R¹B
§A¥i¥H¦P®É°Ñ¦Ò
¤°»ò¥s°µ¼Ö¬¡§ë¸ê¤½uÃÐ----°ò¥»¤ÀªRand§Þ³N¤ÀªRªº¤½uÃÐ
http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/08/and.html
|
|